Comments on: Look Back on 2005’s Predictions

By: StevenB

StevenB — Sun, 01 Jan 2006 15:43:13 +0000

Good job on the predictions….

The Apple/iTunes/iPod one deserves more thought – true, the ‘new’ players like Napster and Yahoo cut the total share of market that Apple has. But (and it’s a big but) – the Apple competitorss have done this by growing the market itself enormously, not “stealing” customers from Apple. This is a natural progression in a maturing market and if it didn’t happen, it would prove that this phenomenon of online music purchasing/portable music players is a mere flash in the pan. The most interesting metrics for Q106 will be how many total PMP customers there are out there and what is the growth rate of the business. My prediction for 2006? Portable Music Players will reach 20% penetration of all internet users – driven through the release computer-independent devices (what the ROKR should have been!).

By: Jeremy Wright

Jeremy Wright — Sun, 18 Dec 2005 16:33:55 +0000

I’m not sure I meant that it was surprisingly good… Merely that it was surprisingly better than it should have been. The acting was crap, but it could have been a much, much worse movie overall.

Jackson tried to put way too much emotion into the movie (hence the 1.5 hours longer than it should have been), but it could have been given a much, much worse treatment

By: Jacob M

Jacob M — Sat, 17 Dec 2005 16:50:43 +0000

King Kong was surprisingly good? Oh dear, your tastes have gone downhill my friend. an hour and a half of shmultzy set-up that could have been just as effectively presented as fifteen minutes of flash-backs whilst on board the ship. BOOOOOOO!!! Peter Jackson was wasting everyones time. The movie was over three hours long, and only 70 minutes or so were worth watching. Boo King Kong!!!!

But all the same, well done on the predictions. Care to predict my future???

By: Josh Catone

Josh Catone — Sat, 17 Dec 2005 00:17:27 +0000

Not bad, but not too many of your predictions really went too far out on a limb. For 2006 no more playing it safe.

And I don’t know if we can call King Kong a hit yet (it’s Wednesday and Thursday numbers were actually kind of lackluster… Narnia, however, did impress at the box office). A surprise hit might be something more like The Longest Yard. I don’t think anyone expected it to make $158 million in North America… and it was the second highest non-#1 opening of all time and the most ever for a sports-themed film.

By: Des Paroz

Des Paroz — Fri, 16 Dec 2005 07:26:42 +0000

Well done Jeremy. 5.5 is a good score.

Although I disagree a little about Google. Whilst they had a couple of missteps, nothing too major, and they are certainly executing better than almost any other company.

The surprise package is Yahoo – a year ago I wouldn’t have predicted they’d be doing so well in the Web 2.0 stakes.

By: Chad Sakonchick

Chad Sakonchick — Thu, 15 Dec 2005 22:02:01 +0000

I’m going to have to disagree with you about Google.

Google started buying up businesses like crazy this year. I’m skeptical about some of their investments but am 100% on their purchase of Urchin stats software. You need to read Thomas Baekdal’s article on why.

And congrats on getting some…that’s all it’s reallly about