FireFox was downloaded 1,000,000 times in less than a week. To me, FireFox is exactly where IE was before it became the dominant browser. I wish I’d written my “Why Netscape?” post earlier this week, as it’d frame this discussion very well.

Suffice to say that Netscape, in my opinion, lost to the better browser. IE was more developer friendly. IE was deemed The Best Browser by every publication in that quarter. IE had huge geek momentum. I don’t want to get into that discussion too much right now because I’ll be writing the post later, but suffice to say the situation really reminds me of where FireFox is at right now.

FireFox is now more developer friendly than IE.
FireFox was recently deemed the Best Browser by every major plubication.
FireFox has huge geek momentum.

And, FireFox has momentum all to itself this month (as IE did at the time it took the lead from Netscape).

Realistically, all it would take is for FireFox to keep it’s current momentum for a year. It would then be the dominant browser.

The question isn’t if or will this happen, as that’s really anyone’s best guess. I don’t want to get into predictions.

The question, from me, is how the world would look with FireFox as the lead browser. So many corporate decisions are made with IE in mind. So many things are simply assumed because IE’s the lead browser.

It really is hard for me to imagine a world where the lead browser isn’t made by the lead OS manufacturer. I can see how it would be good. I can see how it would be bad. Just like it’s hard for me to imagine a world where the OS throne is not held by Microsoft.

I wish the FireFox crew all the best, because ultimately the best browser should win (as happened with IE). My hope? That the FireFox crew doesn’t get complacent like the IE crew did. There is, after all, so much you can do with a web browser. You implement every W3C specification … And then what? Release a new version every year to implement the W3C’s new specs and updated specs?

Should the browser push innovation? I know everyone hates when things are done in a non-standard way, but realistically is the W3C going to push innovation or is it simply meant to standardize innovation? Who is pushing innovation on the web these days? Why can’t it be FireFox (or Microsoft? Or Macromedia? Or anyone really?)?

Why is the web effectively the same today as it was 10 years ago? Sure, things are easier. Things are prettier. Things work better. But the web is basically the same today as it was a decade ago when I programmed Microsoft’s and IBM’s first websites.

Sad, isn’t it?

Okay, that was 3 rants in one. Sorry ;-)